Canada World Cup betting guide: Group odds and best bets

 The World Cup is less than a month away and Canada will be making its first appearance in the tournament since 1986.


Pre-tournament narrative
: Canada’s 28 points in the CONCACAF qualifiers was tied with Mexico for the most among all participants. The team finds itself in a tough Group F with Belgium, Croatia and Morocco. Canada’s first game is against Belgium on November 23 at Ahmad bin Ali Stadium.

Check out our Canada World Cup betting guide.

Canada MarketsOdds
Canada to win World Cup+30,000
Canada to be runner-up+25,000
Canada to win Group F+1,200
Canada to advance to Round of 16Yes (+300) or No (-500)
Canada to be eliminated in Round of 16+400
Canada to be eliminated in Quarter Final+2,000
Canada to be eliminated in Semi Final+7,000

Odds as of 5:45 p.m. ET on 11/01/22.

Canada World Cup betting guide. Team breakdown

It’s been 36 long years since Canada found itself on soccer’s greatest stage. Generations later, the Reds are back — with their best team ever.

The Canucks are led by Alphonso Davies, who has become a superstar for one of Europe’s best clubs, Bayern Munich. Davies won the Champions League with Bayern in 2020 and has scored 12 goals in 34 games for Canada.

He’s one of four countrymen currently participating in the Champions League knockout stages, alongside Cyle Larin, Tajon Buchanan and Stephen Eustáquio.

Jonathan David has also found success in European club football for Lille in Ligue 1. He’s scored 37 goals in 87 club appearances and has 22 goals in 34 Canadian caps.

The Canadian team is much deeper than those five players, though. Domestic talents such as Jonathan Osorio, Lucas Cavallini and Kamal Miller litter the roster. The former is dealing with a concussion but should be ready to go come November 23.

Canadian odds in Group F

The Canadians rolled through the CONCACAF qualifiers, beating the United States, Mexico and Costa Rica — among others — en route to their World Cup berth. This will be far tougher.

Canada has to contend with Belgium, Croatia and Morocco if it wishes to advance past the group stage for the first time ever. Only two teams make it out of the group, following a round-robin format where each team plays once. Three points are awarded for a win and one for a draw.

The Belgians are the No. 2-ranked team in the world, have talents like Kevin De Bruyne and Romelu Lukaku leading the charge, and are -1,000 to advance to the Round of 16 and -155 to win Group F. Lukaku recently suffered a muscle injury but is expected to be fit for the World Cup.


The Croatian golden generation is nearing its twilight but still has one last kick at the can. Croatia, -210 to advance and +225 to win, was runner-up at the 2018 World Cup and is led by Luka Modric, who won the Ballon d’Or that year.

Morocco has a formidable attacking group led by Chelsea’s Hakim Ziyech and Sevilla’s Youssef En-Nesyri. Morocco (+200) has slightly better odds than Canada (+300) to advance through Group F.

Best Canada bets

Canada is an underdog in every sense here. Its odds to crash out of the group stage are a heavily juiced -500. That said, there are some bets certainly worth a sniff.

Canada didn’t find the net in its only prior World Cup appearance. At +110, it would be poetic for Davies to change that.

Canada’s best player has a far more aggressive role on Canada than he does on Bayern. He has the ability to create plays as a high-pressing wingback and is often lurking around the 18-yard box.

If you’re willing to contend with more juice, David is -155 to score a goal during the tournament. David plays forward and has scored in 65% of his games with the Canadian squad — the best rate among players with five-plus goals.

Getting Canada to advance through Group F at +300 is deserving of a look. Belgium is a powerhouse and Croatia is solid but Canada has proven its ability to contend.

Canada drew and beat Mexico during the CONCACAF qualifications and Mexico has advanced to the Round of 16 in every tournament since 1994.

Beating Morocco will be a must if the Canadians wish to advance. If they can pull that off, a draw against Belgium or Croatia should be enough, provided they don’t get blown out by either team.

World Cup Canada vs. Belgium early pick

Canada’s first game will be its toughest.

Belgium is -360 to win while Canada sits as a +1,000 underdog. A tie would pay +460. We’ll have a more extensive preview of this matchup closer to the date when full betting markets are released.

We’re not delusional — Canada will in all likelihood lose this game. The Belgians have won six straight games in the group stage by an average of 1.67 goals per contest. That said, backing Belgium to win at -360 has no value.

Canada held up well in the CONCACAF but could get shelled in this spot. Backing Belgium to score over 2.5 goals at +130 has value. De Bruyne, Lukaku, and the Hazard brothers lead a team that is loaded offensively.

A win may be out of the question for Canada but finding the net is not. Belgium conceded a goal in four of its seven 2018 World Cup games and has allowed a goal in five of its last six Nation’s League games.

If you’re an eternal optimist and looking to back Canada even further, we’d point you to taking them to win or draw at +275.

Post a Comment

Previous Post Next Post